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If a proposal doesn't prove out as expected when we run it, sometimes we change the model.
If a proposal doesn't prove out as expected when we run it, sometimes we change the model.
If a proposal doesn't prove out as expected when we run it, sometimes we change the model.
If a proposal doesn't prove out as expected when we run it, sometimes we change the model.
If a proposal doesn't prove out as expected when we run it, sometimes we change the model.
If a proposal doesn't prove out as expected when we run it, sometimes we change the model.
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Edgar Fiedler:
Forecasting is a maddening occupation. It is always fascinating and exciting and rewarding. yet itEdgar Fiedler:
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To qualify as a recession, economic activity must decline in an absolute sense; a mere slowdown inEdgar Fiedler:
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Expansions do not die of old age. The probability of recession in the following year is the same foEdgar Fiedler:
At some risk of oversimplification, I suggest that the usual reason a business cycle turns into a mEdgar Fiedler:
In a sense, there are as many forecasting methods as there are forecasters. But I would argue thatEdgar Fiedler:
No one can escape the iron rule that once you make a forecast, you know you're going to be wrong; y